Headline : Just How Dominant Can The Bear Get in 2024?

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The Emmys’ scope is getting narrower and narrower. In 2019, Game of Thrones nabbed 7 out of 13 nominations in the Supporting Actor/Actress categories alone. In 2021, first-time comedy honoree Ted Lasso earned seven acting nods across Lead and Supporting (winning three), while over in drama, Netflix stalwart The Crown got seven (winning four) and the long-in-the-tooth The Handmaid’s Tale got eight (plus two nominations in the guest-acting categories). Last year, Succession got nine acting nominations in drama, and The Bear got 13 in comedy (both walked away with three wins each). FX’s new darling is primed to repeat its domination in 2024, racking up nomination tallies as fewer and fewer shows in general stand a chance of recognition. This is great news for Matty Matheson and Abby Elliott, but the trend itself is an irksome one.

The problem is certainly not that there aren’t enough shows to award. The expanse of the Peak TV era has led the Emmys to increase the number of nomination slots in certain categories to accommodate all the TV that’s being made today. For example, in 2018, the Best Drama and Comedy series categories grew to eight nominees apiece (up from six), as did all the Supporting Actor and Actress categories. And yet last year, only 10 drama series and 11 comedies were represented in the Lead and Supporting acting categories; compare that to 15 years ago, when there were 15 dramas and 16 comedies represented at the 2009 Emmys.

There are a few reasons why this might be. The least charitable of them is that Emmy voters, faced with an ever-increasing amount of television shows, have simply given up and are only watching the most heavily campaigned shows — mostly returning series with a few flagship newcomers sprinkled in. The more charitable theory is that with so many new shows to consider, the votes end up spread far too thin in a winner-takes-all, academywide voting system — the result of changes made in 2015 and 2016 to help shake Emmy voters out of some Modern Family–size ruts (the show had just won Outstanding Comedy Series for the fifth straight year, while Jon Hamm was still trophy-less for Mad Men).

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